Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”

Resolved :34.838.6
5
7
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction38.6 (26.6 - 50.7)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
26.55
38.61
50.68

What was the final result?34.8

Community Baseline Score
29.0
Community Peer Score
17.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jacyanthis
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Artificial Intelligence
Social Sciences
2022 Leaderboard
Neuroscience
Psychology
Philosophy
United States
Ipsos
Sentience Institute
Sentience

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