Question

Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction21% (16% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Politics

Law and Justice

LGBT rights in Poland

LGBT ideology-free zone

Lech Wałęsa

Poland

Convenient or intrusive? How Poland has embraced digital ID cards

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Supreme Court Asked to Overturn Gay Marriage

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

Idaho Republican lawmakers call on Supreme Court to reverse same-sex marriage ruling

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?

56%

What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

17.2

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

7.11

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Politics

Law and Justice

LGBT rights in Poland

LGBT ideology-free zone

Lech Wałęsa

Poland

Convenient or intrusive? How Poland has embraced digital ID cards

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Supreme Court Asked to Overturn Gay Marriage

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

Idaho Republican lawmakers call on Supreme Court to reverse same-sex marriage ruling

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?

56%

What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

17.2

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

7.11