MetaculusM

Group

Flu Hospitalizations for CA

23 comments23

41 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Ending	resolution
Jan 22	64
Feb 5	32
Feb 19	18
Mar 5	32
Mar 19	57
Apr 2	83
Apr 16	100
Apr 30	218
May 14	308
June 4	453
June 11	397
June 18	304
June 25	238
July 2	192

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.4k

0.4%

60.7

80.93

107.3

0.5%

What was the final result?64

Community Baseline Score

67.8

Community Peer Score

45.7

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

June 4

June 11

June 18

June 25

Jan 22

May 14

Authors:

nikos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

FluSight Challenge 2021/22

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

California declares bird flu state of emergency after Louisiana patient suffers first severe case

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

6.96

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

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