Question
How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022?
Resolved :2324.4Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction24.4 (22.4 - 26.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 22.39 | — |
median | 24.42 | — |
upper 75% | 26.37 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?23
Community Baseline Score
28.5
Community Peer Score
16.3
Authors:
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 2, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 2, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch