Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?

Resolved :8379.1
8
12
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction79.1 (70.3 - 82.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<35
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>95
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
70.34
79.1
82.84
2.0%

What was the final result?83

Community Baseline Score
22.8
Community Peer Score
61.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexlyzhov
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Vladimir Putin
Levada Center
Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin
Ukraine
Russia

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