Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?

6
12
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction251T (74.2T - 1.1×10¹⁵)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<300k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10¹⁸
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
74.18T
251.2T
1.1×10¹⁵
2.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
SignoreGalilei
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Natural Sciences
Atmosphere of Jupiter
Earth
Atmosphere of Venus
Milky Way
Moon
Colonization of Mars

Comments

? comments