Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?

8
7
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction604 (320 - 1.61k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
...
319.9
603.8
1.608k
7.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
GoldbergMachinations
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
SpaceX
SpaceShipTwo
SpaceX reusable launch system
Atmospheric science
US Department of Defense
Virgin Galactic
New Shepard
Commercial astronaut
Aerospace engineering
Physics

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