Question

How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction619

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5k

...

340.8

618.9

1.634k

7.3%

Authors:

GoldbergMachinations

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

US Department of Defense

Aerospace engineering

Physics

What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?

57.5

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

2034-06-24

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

22.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

GoldbergMachinations

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

US Department of Defense

Aerospace engineering

Physics

The billionaire CEO who made history with SpaceX describes facing the 'vacuum of death' in only a spacesuit

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Pan Am made bookings for moon flights— years before Elon Musk

New York Post•Nov 16, 2024

Space travel should not be just ‘for the elites’, says new British astronaut

Guardian•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?

57.5

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

2034-06-24

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

22.4