Question

Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No

138 comments138

Total Forecasters1193

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.4

Community Peer Score

12.1

median 1.0%mean 1.3%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

Ukraine

Russia

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

Ukraine

Russia

South Korea: ‘Highly Likely’ North Koreans Are Fighting for Russia in Ukraine

Breitbart•Oct 9, 2024

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Daily Wire•Oct 10, 2024

Ukraine hit 2 Russian ammunition depots in 2 days — hammering the latest in a deep strike on a military airfield

Business Insider•Oct 10, 2024

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Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%