Question

Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

138 comments138

Total Forecasters1193

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

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93.4

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12.1

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Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

Ukraine

Russia

Putin Ally Says 'New, Very Close Regions' Could Join Russia

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Sets Out 2025 Ukraine Goal

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Putin Ally Admits Russia Can't Kick Ukraine out of Kursk by Year End

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

Ukraine

Russia

Putin Ally Says 'New, Very Close Regions' Could Join Russia

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Sets Out 2025 Ukraine Goal

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Putin Ally Admits Russia Can't Kick Ukraine out of Kursk by Year End

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Comments

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?