Question

Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

42 comments42

Total Forecasters653

Community Prediction1%

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50%

community: 1%

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Community Baseline Score

96.4

Community Peer Score

5.9

median 1.0%mean 2.3%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

NATO

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Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

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