Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?

Resolved :100k102k
13
31
Total Forecasters360
Community Prediction102k (96.1k - 109k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<80k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300k
...
...
...
...
...
4.3%
96.08k
102.3k
109.5k
0.2%

What was the final result?100k

Community Baseline Score
88.3
Community Peer Score
41.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
TomL
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Europe
US Armed Forces

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