🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?

Resolved :No2%
160
523
Total Forecasters1634
Community Prediction2% (1% - 6%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
18.2
Community Peer Score
58.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Russian Armed Forces
Kiev

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