Question

Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

Resolved :No

179 comments179

Total Forecasters903

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

median 2.0%mean 6.0%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

On the Ukraine War and Where It’s Going

CounterPunch•Oct 2, 2024

Russia captures strategic stronghold after 2 years of Ukrainian resistance

NBC•Oct 2, 2024

Ukraine: Russians capture strategic town of Vuhledar in yet another blow for Kyiv

CNN•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

50%

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Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Comments

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?