Question

Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

Resolved :No

158 comments158

Total Forecasters903

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

11.3

Community Peer Score

69.1

median 2.0%mean 6.0%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Comments

? comments