Question

Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

41 comments41

Total Forecasters544

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.6

Community Peer Score

20.9

median 1.0%mean 1.4%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Verity

Geopolitics

Donetsk People's Republic

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Transnistria

Moldova

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Comments

? comments