Question

Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction14%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 14%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

70.4

Community Peer Score

34.6

median 14.0%mean 15.7%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

International Congress of Mathematicians

United States

Maryna Viazovska

Russia

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Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Ukraine Conflict Challenge Discussion

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

International Congress of Mathematicians

United States

Maryna Viazovska

Russia

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Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%