Question

Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%

31 comments31

Total Forecasters200

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.5

Community Peer Score

14.6

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Mar 1, 2022

Closes:

Jun 29, 2023

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2023

Verity

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Russo-Ukrainian War

Ukraine–NATO relations

NATO Members Warned Over Russian Sabotage Campaign

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

NATO Updates on $42 Billion Ukraine Pledge

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

At least 100 N.Koreans deployed to support Russia's war effort in Ukraine have been killed

Raw Story•Jan 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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