Question

Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?

Resolved :No1%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters166

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

84.6

Community Peer Score

9.4

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Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

China and Global Cooperation

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

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Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

China and Global Cooperation

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

United Nations Security Council

U.S. warship docks in Cambodia, a top Chinese ally, for first time in 8 years

CBS•Dec 17, 2024

Satellite Photo Captures Chinese Aircraft Carrier Near Neighbor's Shores

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Pentagon Releases Report on Chinese Aircraft Carrier Fleet

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Comments

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?