Question

Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024?

Resolved :Yes32%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction32% (20% - 39%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-8.4

Community Peer Score

8.4

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Mar 8, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

China and Global Cooperation

Law

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Antimicrobial resistance

Wastewater treatment plants funnel PFAS into drinking water

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

High levels of ‘forever chemicals’ mainly from drugs may be contaminating drinking water for 23 million Americans

CNN•Jan 25, 2025

In China, Rare Dissent Over a Program to Save on Drug Costs

New York Times•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023?

60%

Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?

67%

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Mar 8, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

China and Global Cooperation

Law

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Antimicrobial resistance

Wastewater treatment plants funnel PFAS into drinking water

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

High levels of ‘forever chemicals’ mainly from drugs may be contaminating drinking water for 23 million Americans

CNN•Jan 25, 2025

In China, Rare Dissent Over a Program to Save on Drug Costs

New York Times•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023?

60%

Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?

67%

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

16%