Question

Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?

Resolved :No1%

38 comments38

Total Forecasters440

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casens

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Closes:

Resolves:

United States Intelligence Community

United States

Jake Williams

Russia

Suspected sabotage of European undersea cables shows just how vulnerable these critical lines are to attack

Business Insider•Dec 16, 2024

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Dec 16, 2024

Trump Must Fix Cybersecurity in the First 100 Days

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United States Intelligence Community

United States

Jake Williams

Russia

Suspected sabotage of European undersea cables shows just how vulnerable these critical lines are to attack

Business Insider•Dec 16, 2024

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Dec 16, 2024

Trump Must Fix Cybersecurity in the First 100 Days

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

Comments

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?