🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%
25
78
Total Forecasters658
Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
13.7
Community Peer Score
3.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
2022 Leaderboard
Germany
Robert Habeck
European Union
Yamal–Europe pipeline
Member state of the European Union
Norway
Ukraine
Natural gas
Russia

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