Question

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Resolved :No

59 comments59

Total Forecasters589

Community Prediction1%

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50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

12.4

median 1.0%mean 1.3%

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Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Verity

Geopolitics

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Transnistria

Dniester

Republic of Artsakh

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

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Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

20%

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Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Comments

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?