Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
23
59
Total Forecasters589
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
93.0
Community Peer Score
12.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Transnistria
Dniester
Republic of Artsakh
South Ossetia
Abkhazia
Moldova–Transnistria relations
Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation
Moldova
Ukraine

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