Question

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Resolved :No

59 comments59

Total Forecasters589

Community Prediction1%

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community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

12.4

median 1.0%mean 1.3%

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Verity

Geopolitics

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Transnistria

Dniester

Republic of Artsakh

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

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