Question

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

59 comments59

Total Forecasters589

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

12.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Transnistria

Dniester

Republic of Artsakh

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

'No heating, no light': Moldovans fear looming energy shortage as Russia halts gas supplies

Independent•Dec 31, 2024

‘No heating, no light': Moldovans fear looming energy shortage as Russia halts gas supplies

Associated Press•Dec 31, 2024

Will There Be a Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal in 2025?

Newsweek•Dec 29, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Comments

? comments