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Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
51 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
2%
708 forecasters
53
202 comments
202
Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?
Resolved :
Yes
66 forecasters
7
15 comments
15
Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
20%
112 forecasters
11
55 comments
55
In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
3%
510 forecasters
13
15 comments
15
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?
8%
543 forecasters
21
21 comments
21
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?
Resolved :
Annulled
213 forecasters
28
20 comments
20
Regulation of AI
How many US Supreme Court Justices will be confirmed during the 2025 presidential term?
2
56%
1
30%
3 or more
10%
1 other
3
3 comments
3
๐ฝForecast the State of the Union ๐ฝ
Will Edmundo Gonzรกlez, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?
79%
16 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Hillary Clinton
1%
Barack Obama
1%
Joe Biden
1%
8 others
3
9 comments
9
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