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Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?
4%
27 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?
16%
28 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?
8%
67 forecasters
9
25 comments
25
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
85 forecasters
14
22 comments
22
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?
Resolved :
No
34 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
37 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Future Perfect 2022 Series