Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?
3%
27 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?
15%
28 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
85 forecasters
14
22 comments
22
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?
Resolved :
No
34 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
37 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Future Perfect 2022 Series