Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.9
14 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?
2%
136 forecasters
22
15 comments
15
Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?
Resolved :
No
280 forecasters
18
10 comments
10
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
Resolved :
No
319 forecasters
36
65 comments
65
When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?
2040-09-30
49 forecasters
11
12 comments
12
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
56 forecasters
9
16 comments
16
Future Perfect 2021 Series
Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?
90%
89 forecasters
10
23 comments
23
When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?
2030-09-14
23 forecasters
12
13 comments
13
Load More