MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?

16

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

4

Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?

5

How many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?

126 forecasters

15

Will genetic data from a new Denisova hominin be published in the first 6 months of 2019?

When will the first human be born on another world?

140 forecasters

27

Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated before 2051?

13

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

13

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

18

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

18