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What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
19
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?
269
93 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Biosecurity Tournament
If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?
226
76 forecasters
9
no comments
0
Biosecurity Tournament
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
5%
296 forecasters
40
35 comments
35
Biosecurity Tournament
condition
Novel Pathogen in China November 2023?
Resolved :
No
14 forecasters
if yes
if no
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
5%
5%
Resolved :
Annulled
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
4%
4%
3
no comments
0