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When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
2029-01-24
71 forecasters
27
25 comments
25
Situational Awareness
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025:
2.67
103 forecasters
13
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will a scientific mission to the outer solar system be assigned to the Falcon Heavy by mid-2023?
Resolved :
Yes
176 forecasters
25
44 comments
44
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
0.5%
248 forecasters
15
13 comments
13
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.53
55 forecasters
14
20 comments
20
What discretionary funding level will President Biden request for NASA in his 2024 budget?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
33 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?
46.2
14 forecasters
6
3 comments
3