Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025:
2.72
13
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will a scientific mission to the outer solar system be assigned to the Falcon Heavy by mid-2023?
Resolved :
Yes
25
44 comments
44
When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
2029-04-10
27
24 comments
24
Situational Awareness
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
1%
15
13 comments
13
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.53
14
20 comments
20
What discretionary funding level will President Biden request for NASA in his 2024 budget?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
5
3 comments
3
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?
46.2
6
3 comments
3