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On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.26
29 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code ยง 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?
14%
29 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
262 forecasters
34
81 comments
81
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
When will Alcor begin performing cryothanasia?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
5 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Will Trumps Rally in Phoenix at the Dream City Church result in a spike of COVID-19 infections?
Resolved :
No
64 forecasters
9
28 comments
28
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
72 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 12, 2027
Waymo
Jan 29, 2027
Any Service
Nov 10, 2026
10
95 comments
95
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks?
December 31:
Resolved :
633
9 forecasters
1
9 comments
9
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
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