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Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Ohio
97%
Alaska
97%
20 others
40
248 comments
248
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
34%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
1%
7
8 comments
8
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
37.84%
Wisconsin
16.81%
Michigan
15.34%
10 others
7
36 comments
36
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Aug 5, 2027
Waymo
Jan 2, 2027
Any Service
Dec 11, 2026
10
95 comments
95
Who will win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona?
Ruben Gallego (D)
83.7%
Kari Lake (R)
16%
Other Republican Nominee
0.1%
2 others
3
25 comments
25
How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election?
2
43.49%
1
24.85%
3
21.85%
5 others
1
5 comments
5
Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
34
81 comments
81
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
12
105 comments
105
When will Alcor begin performing cryothanasia?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
4
3 comments
3
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