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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Ukraine, Russia, Georgia or Armenia between 1 June 2018 and 31 August 2018?
Resolved :
No
86 forecasters
3 comments
3
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
When will the ArmeniaโTurkey border reopen?
2025-12-29
30 forecasters
10
27 comments
27
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Albania
Jan 11, 2035
Serbia
Jan 11, 2035
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
92 forecasters
6
11 comments
11
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
110 forecasters
9
36 comments
36
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates?
2025:
3%
39 forecasters
10
20 comments
20
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