Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
80%
116 forecasters
4
28 comments
28
Will a major network call the election prematurely?
Resolved :
No
61 forecasters
15 comments
15
Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?
Resolved :
No
308 forecasters
43
122 comments
122
[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?
Resolved :
Yes
62 forecasters
7
18 comments
18
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
Resolved :
No
18 forecasters
if yes
if no
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
55%
55%
Resolved :
Annulled
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
25%
25%
4
4 comments
4
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
Resolved :
No
16 forecasters
if yes
if no
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
51%
51%
Resolved :
Annulled
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
45%
45%
no comments
0
Conditional Cup