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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
86%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates?
2025:
3%
39 forecasters
10
20 comments
20
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
When will the ArmeniaโTurkey border reopen?
2025-12-29
30 forecasters
10
27 comments
27
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
92 forecasters
6
11 comments
11
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
110 forecasters
9
36 comments
36
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
24%
11 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives
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