Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?
3%
191 forecasters
23
23 comments
23
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
58%
44 forecasters
7
6 comments
6
condition
Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
60%
60%
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
19%
19%
-1
no comments
0
Will Berkshire Hathaway pay a dividend before 2027?
10.6%
14 forecasters
2
2 comments
2