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If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
No
Joe Biden (D)
Annulled
17 others
20
82 comments
82
Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?
1%
135 forecasters
12
26 comments
26
Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?
Resolved :
Yes
462 forecasters
33
36 comments
36
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?
Resolved :
No
63 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: What is the Metaculus community's prediction about Bernie Sanders?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
53 forecasters
6 comments
6
Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?
Resolved :
No
43 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
How many US Senate seats will Democrats control after 2018 midterm elections?
Resolved :
45
133 forecasters
17
19 comments
19
Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any *other* previous significant political office?
Resolved :
Yes
174 forecasters
14
25 comments
25
Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders?
Resolved :
No
248 forecasters
18
101 comments
101
How many Senate Democrats will vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?
Resolved :
1
56 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
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