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Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
26%
295 forecasters
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jan 30
Feb 03
Feb 07
Feb 11
Feb 15
Feb 19
Feb 23
Feb 27
Mar 03
Mar 07
Mar 11
Mar 15
Mar 19
Mar 23
Mar 27
28
76 comments
76
Closes
Dec 31, 2074
When will the world create the first Trillionaire?
May 2031
277 forecasters
Jun 2018
26
39 comments
39
Closes
Jun 15, 2025
Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?
Resolved:
Yes
20%
72 forecasters
10%
20%
30%
Oct 16
Oct 20
Oct 24
Oct 28
Nov 01
Nov 05
Nov 09
Nov 13
Nov 17
Nov 21
Nov 25
Nov 29
Dec 03
Dec 07
Dec 11
Dec 15
2
25 comments
25
Resolved
Dec 15, 2022
Will Bill and Melinda Gates' philanthropic priorities diverge by 2030?
90%
89 forecasters
80%
85%
90%
95%
Jan 30
Feb 03
Feb 07
Feb 11
Feb 15
Feb 19
Feb 23
Feb 27
Mar 03
Mar 07
Mar 11
Mar 15
Mar 19
Mar 23
Mar 27
10
19 comments
19
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Who will be the first USD trillionaire?
Someone else
41.34%
Elon Musk
36.29%
Jeff Bezos
8.06%
13 others
0%
25%
50%
75%
Jan 30
Feb 03
Feb 07
Feb 11
Feb 15
Feb 19
Feb 23
Feb 27
Mar 03
Mar 07
Mar 11
Mar 15
Mar 19
Mar 23
Mar 27
4
22 comments
22
Closes
Dec 31, 2044
Who will be #1 on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on June 28, 2024?
Elon Musk
Yes
Jeff Bezos
No
Bernard Arnault & family
No
2 others
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Jun 15
Jun 16
Jun 17
Jun 18
Jun 19
Jun 20
Jun 21
Jun 22
Jun 23
Jun 24
Jun 25
Jun 26
Jun 27
3
3 comments
3
Resolved
Jun 27, 2024
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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