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Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
No
414 forecasters
26
40 comments
40
Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
255 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
Ukraine Conflict
When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson?
Resolved :
Nov 18, 2022
445 forecasters
63
271 comments
271
Ukraine Conflict
War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict
16
6 comments
6
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
48 forecasters
7
21 comments
21
Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Russian Control
Annulled
Ukrainian Control
No
2
4 comments
4
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023?
Resolved :
No
106 forecasters
10
20 comments
20
Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023?
Resolved :
No
209 forecasters
13
67 comments
67
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
57 forecasters
5
45 comments
45
Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023?
Resolved :
No
204 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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