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When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?
2025-01-09
34 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?
90%
65 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
86%
38 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
79.2%
45 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?
95%
35 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
95%
24 forecasters
no comments
0
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Aidan Caplan win his bet that the Supreme Court will not be packed as of July 4, 2028?
90.8%
21 forecasters
no comments
0
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
75%
24 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?
86.4%
50 forecasters
4
27 comments
27
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
1%
52 forecasters
1 comment
1
The Bryan Caplan Collection
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