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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?
1%
81 forecasters
12
15 comments
15
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?
Resolved :
No
42 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
