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What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

End of 2024:3.5k

6

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

6

Chinese AI Chips

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Amazon Web Services

Microsoft Azure

6

Chinese AI Chips

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

7

Chinese AI Chips

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?

Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024):13.9

6

Chinese AI Chips

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

6

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2025:3×10¹⁸

7

Forecasting Our World in Data

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2023:2×10²⁵

18

Forecasting Our World in Data

Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?

Year: 2032 FLOPs: 10e30

Year: 2036 FLOPs: 10e32

Year: 2028 FLOPs: 10e28

2

AI Technical Benchmarks

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Amazon Web Services

Microsoft Azure

6

Chinese AI Chips