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Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
95%
1459 forecasters
221
146 comments
146
AGI Outcomes
When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversaries?
2026-07-09
78 forecasters
15
8 comments
8
AI Safety
How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?
Resolved :
8.21k
60 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?
Resolved :
17.2k
44 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?
Resolved :
37.1k
29 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown
3
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?
2025-10-23
14 forecasters
2
5 comments
5