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Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Civil Liability Laws

Mandatory Disclosure Requirements

10

Regulation of AI

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

3

Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?

19

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

4

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

4

Regulation of AI

Will 85% of Chrome users have cookies deprecated before June 2026?

4

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

15

Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?

11

Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?

Resolved :Ambiguous

3

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

23