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Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?
5%
182 forecasters
16
57 comments
57
AI Safety
Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?
No Restriction
80%
Civil Liability Laws
12%
Mandatory Disclosure Requirements
10%
4 others
10
37 comments
37
Regulation of AI
Will a "Deepfake" video about a national U.S. political candidate running for office in 2018 get 2M+ views?
Resolved :
No
81 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source?
Resolved :
Yes
211 forecasters
13
23 comments
23
AI Safety
Before 2026, how many US states will pass legislation regulating deepfakes?
32.4
6 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee