Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years?
2026
28.3%
2025
7%
2024
No
1
8 comments
8
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29.2%
7 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
[Short Fuse] Will the proxy advisor Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) advise Tesla shareholders to vote against Elon Musk's $57 billion package OR the re-election of Kimbal Musk?
Resolved :
Yes
35 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
[Short Fuse] Will the proxy advisor Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) advise Tesla shareholders to vote against Elon Musk's $57 billion package OR the re-election of Kimbal Musk?
3 comments
3
AI benchmarking warmup