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Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?
Resolved :
No
25 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?
73%
69 forecasters
9
15 comments
15
In the context of community transmission, what will be the recommended minimum % of positive COVID-19 cases that should be sequenced?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
20 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?
2045-12-05
18 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?
118
47 forecasters
22
7 comments
7
When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?
2029-03-01
101 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?
65.3
117 forecasters
14
6 comments
6
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?
2023:
341
93 forecasters
17
6 comments
6
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?
70.5%
15 forecasters
1
4 comments
4