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Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
3%
166 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
condition
Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024?
46 forecasters
if yes
if no
Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024
1%
1%
Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024
1%
1%
4
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?
Resolved :
No
75 forecasters
17
16 comments
16
Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
263 forecasters
23
23 comments
23
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
509 forecasters
44
45 comments
45
Will Ukraine fulfill its Minsk-II obligations in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblast by 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
147 forecasters
13
38 comments
38
Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
490 forecasters
21
64 comments
64
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
506 forecasters
19
23 comments
23
Ukraine Conflict
When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
61 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
US/NATO Ops in UA
Annulled
No US/NATO Ops in UA
No
4
10 comments
10
Red Lines in Ukraine
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