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Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?
Resolved :
No
735 forecasters
74
290 comments
290
Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?
Resolved :
No
196 forecasters
21
26 comments
26
Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
ATACMS provided
No
ATACMS not provided
Annulled
7
9 comments
9
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?
Resolved :
No
1152 forecasters
54
508 comments
508
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Russian Control
Annulled
Ukrainian Control
No
2
4 comments
4
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
US/NATO Ops in UA
Annulled
No US/NATO Ops in UA
No
4
10 comments
10
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Has US aircraft
Annulled
No US aircraft
No
3
1 comment
1
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
> 50 km^2
Ambiguous
< 50 km^2
No
8
13 comments
13
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine ground forces entering Russia, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
UA attack
Annulled
No UA attack
Annulled
8
5 comments
5
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Ukraine does not strike
Ambiguous
Ukraine strikes
No
9
8 comments
8
Red Lines in Ukraine
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