Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?
187k
16
20 comments
20
A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
10
7 comments
7
2017 Cryptocurrency Contest
Most useful forecastint tools/data sources
26
33 comments
33
Metaculus Meta
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
58%
85
79 comments
79
[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?
Resolved :
No
5
10 comments
10
Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?
8%
11
24 comments
24
Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their usersโ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
13
56 comments
56
How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?
68.3
3
no comments
0
Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?
67%
9
12 comments
12
When will Ethereum abandon proof of work?
Resolved :
Sep 15, 2022
25
38 comments
38
Load more