MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?

145 forecasters

16

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

553 forecasters

87

Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?

14

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

10

2017 Cryptocurrency Contest

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26

[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?

5

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

11

Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

13

How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?

3

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

9