MetaculusM

Bridgewater 2025

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

578 forecasters

86

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

-5

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

Resolved:Yes28%

10

2017 Cryptocurrency Contest

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26

[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?

5

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

11

What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?

152 forecasters

17

Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?

Resolved:Ambiguous45%

13

If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?

4

How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?

3

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy