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Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?
2%
9
13 comments
13
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?
Resolved :
No
6
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?
Resolved :
No
12
25 comments
25
Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024?
Resolved :
No
15
13 comments
13
Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?
13%
9
25 comments
25
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2045-11-22
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
14
22 comments
22
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?
Resolved :
No
10
11 comments
11
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