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Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
10k / month
27.8%
30k / month
16%
300k / year
14%
2 others
10
14 comments
14
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030?
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
8%
8%
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
4%
4%
2
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
6%
6%
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
2%
2%
1
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)
6 forecasters
if yes
if no
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
7%
7%
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
4%
4%
1
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030)
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
5%
5%
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
4%
4%
1
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox